Political analyst predicts Harris may not win key battleground state: "It's unlikely she'll succeed" without.
Seven swing states, including Pennsylvania, determined the outcome of the 2020 Election between Trump and Biden.
Mark Halperin, a political analyst, stated that Vice President Kamala Harris might not secure Pennsylvania in the crucial 2024 election.
During a livestream on his media platform 2WAY on Wednesday, Halperin asked state and national strategists from campaigns two questions: who is currently leading in the race and where does Pennsylvania rank in terms of the 1-7 states that Harris is most likely to win.
None of the strategists Halperin spoke to considered Pennsylvania the most likely battleground state for Harris to win, and one strategist placed it near the bottom of battleground states she was likely to win, he said.
This source, whom I trust greatly and am very smart, ranked Pennsylvania sixth as the most likely state for Harris to win in the 2024 race. If Harris loses Pennsylvania, he will almost certainly not win the race.
It would be "extremely challenging" to achieve, he contended.
Two Democratic insiders who "know the state very well" backed the prediction made by Halperin on Wednesday.
They believed Harris was "likely to lose the state" behind his back, he said.
Halperin stated that they considered it unlikely that she would win, but they didn't completely rule it out. If you believe that, you can't make her the favorite, and you almost can't even say this race is a toss-up.
"Isn't this the ball game? The question is 'where do you get 270 electoral votes?'" he said. "If Harris loses Pennsylvania, it's challenging to see her winning path."
The 2020 election was decided by seven swing states, including Pennsylvania, which both campaigns view as crucial in determining the outcome of the 2024 presidential race.
The latest Real Clear Politics polling average shows a close national race between the two candidates, with Harris leading Trump by just 1.9 points. In Pennsylvania, the candidates are evenly matched at 47%.
This week, the two candidates will be in the Keystone State for a prime time debate in Philadelphia, which will take place next week.
On Wednesday night, Trump will host a town hall on Planet Chronicle, while Harris will visit the battleground state on Thursday.
On Tuesday, Karl Rove cautioned Democrats that their narrow lead over Trump in November may not be sufficient for Harris to secure victory.
"In 2020, Joe Biden had a 7.1% lead over Donald Trump in the Real Clear Politics average, while in 2016, Hillary Clinton had a 6.3% advantage. The election ultimately came down to a small number of votes in a few key states, as Rove mentioned in an interview on Planet Chronicle' "America's Newsroom.""
Planet Chronicle' Paul Steinhauser and Jeffrey Clark contributed to this article.
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