Nate Silver, a renowned polling expert, has disclosed that he is casting his vote for Kamala Harris.
Silver stated that he intended to remain impartial to his audience while also disclosing that he planned to cast his vote for Harris.
During a podcast on Wednesday, Nate Silver, a polling guru, announced his plans to back the Democratic candidate Kamala Harris in the upcoming November election.
During his podcast, "Risky Business," Silver stated that he was striving to remain impartial to their audience while also revealing that he planned to vote for Harris.
This week, Silver's election model predicted that former President Trump has a better chance of winning the Electoral College. However, he has been criticized for his election forecast by Democrats. Additionally, he provided a post-debate update to his predictions.
"According to Silver on the podcast, she is currently at 49 percent of the vote in polls. In order to win, she must reach 51 percent, as she faces a disadvantage in the Electoral College."
According to his model, Harris has a 38% chance of winning the Electoral College, leading Trump by two points in Silver's national polling average. However, Newsweek reports that Harris said the race was a 50-50 toss-up following Tuesday's ABC News Presidential Debate.
Silver's Wednesday update stated that the forecast did not reflect any impact from the debate because there was no post-debate polling that met Silver Bulletin standards. However, some polls conducted before the debate were released today. Kamala Harris received a strong poll in Wisconsin, but some mediocre national polls were also released, which did not significantly change the overall numbers.
Silver advised Harris to conduct more interviews during the podcast and inquired about her reluctance to do so. Since her emergence as the Democratic nominee, Harris has sat for her first interview with CNN at the end of August and also participated in a pair of radio interviews last week.
"To find 2% of the electorate, he suggested looking into marginal constituencies and avoiding mainstream media hits, instead opting for some niche podcasts."
In his Substack post following the debate, Silver observed that although Harris emerged victorious, the questions posed to her were generally favorable.
If Harris fails to increase her poll numbers, it could indicate that the public is not convinced by her message.
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