Kornacki of MSNBC reports that Trump is behind Harris in the polls but is in a better position than in his previous two elections.

He has previously held this position, stated Donald Trump.

Kornacki of MSNBC reports that Trump is behind Harris in the polls but is in a better position than in his previous two elections.
Kornacki of MSNBC reports that Trump is behind Harris in the polls but is in a better position than in his previous two elections.

According to MSNBC's Steve Kornacki, while former President Trump is currently trailing Vice President Kamala Harris by three points, he has a history of recovering from larger deficits to either win or come very close in elections.

Kornacki stated that if you are a Republican, you can find comfort in the fact that Donald Trump has previously been behind in a presidential election's poll average, as seen on Labor Day.

A recent national poll indicates that Harris is leading Trump by 3% in the race, with just over two months remaining until Election Day.

In 2016, Trump was down by five points against Clinton on average after Labor Day. Despite this, he won the election. In 2020, Trump trailed Biden by an even wider margin on average. However, he came back to come close in the Electoral College, but did not win the election.

Steve Kornacki
MSNBC's Steve Kornacki said Tuesday that based on past elections, Donald Trump might be in a better place than Republicans think, despite trailing VP Harris. (Screenshot/MSNBC)

Kornacki stated that from Trump's perspective, being three points behind might appear more favorable than the previous two times.

Democrats were pleased with the national polling average because Harris was leading, in contrast to President Biden's poll numbers before he dropped out of the race.

In August, CNN's data analyst Henry Enten argued that Trump has been consistently underestimated in polling.

In 2016, Trump was underestimated by an average of 9 points in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, while in 2020, he was underestimated by an average of 5 points in these same states.

Trump rallies in NC
Former president and Republican nominee Donald Trump speaks during a Wednesday campaign event in Asheboro, North Carolina. (Kate Medley for The Washington Post via Getty Images)

If you're a Kamala Harris fan and want to celebrate, hold off. Donald Trump is still in the race, and if there's a polling shift like in previous years, he could win. While it's uncertain, Trump is currently in a strong position, as seen in early August polling.

In August, Nate Silver, a renowned polling and data expert, appeared on Planet Chronicle with Bret Baier and stated that Donald Trump had been underestimated in previous assessments.

We have three more months to go, and there will be more surprises. However, the polls have been wrong before, as they underestimated Trump in both the last two general elections, even though Harris had a slight advantage at the time, all within the margin of error.

by Hanna Panreck

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