Kornacki of MSNBC reports that Trump is behind Harris in the polls but is in a better position than in his previous two elections.
He has previously held this position, stated Donald Trump.
According to MSNBC's Steve Kornacki, while former President Trump is currently trailing Vice President Kamala Harris by three points, he has a history of recovering from larger deficits to either win or come very close in elections.
Kornacki stated that if you are a Republican, you can find comfort in the fact that Donald Trump has previously been behind in a presidential election's poll average, as seen on Labor Day.
A recent national poll indicates that Harris is leading Trump by 3% in the race, with just over two months remaining until Election Day.
In 2016, Trump was down by five points against Clinton on average after Labor Day. Despite this, he won the election. In 2020, Trump trailed Biden by an even wider margin on average. However, he came back to come close in the Electoral College, but did not win the election.
Kornacki stated that from Trump's perspective, being three points behind might appear more favorable than the previous two times.
Democrats were pleased with the national polling average because Harris was leading, in contrast to President Biden's poll numbers before he dropped out of the race.
In August, CNN's data analyst Henry Enten argued that Trump has been consistently underestimated in polling.
In 2016, Trump was underestimated by an average of 9 points in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, while in 2020, he was underestimated by an average of 5 points in these same states.
If you're a Kamala Harris fan and want to celebrate, hold off. Donald Trump is still in the race, and if there's a polling shift like in previous years, he could win. While it's uncertain, Trump is currently in a strong position, as seen in early August polling.
In August, Nate Silver, a renowned polling and data expert, appeared on Planet Chronicle with Bret Baier and stated that Donald Trump had been underestimated in previous assessments.
We have three more months to go, and there will be more surprises. However, the polls have been wrong before, as they underestimated Trump in both the last two general elections, even though Harris had a slight advantage at the time, all within the margin of error.
media
You might also like
- With Trump's appearance, 'Gutfeld!' records its highest viewership ever.
- Trump supporter criticized by CNN reporter for complaining about the economy while owning a boat.
- Melania Trump was present at Rosalynn Carter's funeral, according to Hillary Clinton.
- The former New York Times bureau chief's plea for Harris to answer questions more directly would be beneficial.
- Clinton is certain that Harris will secure the popular vote over Trump.