AI technology could aid the US and its allies in tracking China's intentions regarding a Taiwan invasion.

Beijing has intensified its diplomatic and military efforts to assert control over Taiwan, causing concern among U.S. officials and regional allies that a military invasion is imminent.

If projections of a Chinese military invasion to retake Taiwan are accurate, the U.S. can use AI and other technology to signal to forces in the region that China is not conducting another provocative military exercise but is launching an invasion.

Experts suggest that AI and machine learning (ML) can enhance the U.S. and its allies' ability to develop war plans quickly, conduct accurate intelligence assessments, and achieve greater targeting effectiveness in the region.

Rear Adm. Mark Montgomery, a retired senior director at the Center on Cyber and Technology Innovation at the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies, stated to Planet Chronicle Digital that AI and ML can aid U.S. intelligence experts in processing the massive amount of surveillance data they receive from China and the Western Pacific Ocean.

Rapid processing, evaluation, and dissemination of data can be made more agile and efficient with the help of AI and ML, giving the U.S. military and policymakers decision-making advantages, as Montgomery stated.

Miscalculation can lead to an unnecessary armed confrontation, but new technology can prevent this possibility by preventing hostile forces from misinterpreting training exercises as a prelude to military action.

To derive enemy intentions when their disposition in the field no longer provides indications and warnings, we must rely on data, compute, and talent. This was stated by Adm. Samuel Paparo, the commander of the U.S. Pacific Fleet, who was recently nominated to lead U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, during a conference hosted by the Defense Innovation Unit, as reported by Breaking Defense.

The erosion of strategic, operational, and tactical warnings is a genuine concern, as stated by Paparo.

According to a Breaking Defense article, Paparo stated that the situation presents a challenge to the joint force's ability to go deeper and find indications and warnings that will enable them to be postured to support allies and partners, and if necessary, answer to the readiness to defend Taiwan should the PRC decide to settle matters by the use of force.

Washington policymakers are increasingly concerned that China may use force to reunify Taiwan with the mainland, ending decades of democratic self-rule. This fear has intensified following Congresswoman Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan in August 2022, which prompted China to increase its military activities in the Taiwan Strait. In 2022, China sent 727 aircraft into and toward Taiwan's airspace, and in the first half of 2023, it sent 850 planes, according to the Stimson Center.

The visit of the former House speaker in Beijing was perceived by some as the U.S. abandoning its longstanding "One-China" policy, which has guided its approach to Taiwan since 1979. Recent military officials have warned that China intends to invade Taiwan in the near future.

Adm. Philip Davidson, commander of the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, stated at a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing in 2021 that Taiwan is one of their ambitions and the threat is evident in the next six years.

Chinese President Xi Jinping has openly stated his ambitions towards Taiwan prior to the 100th anniversary of the People's Republic of China.

In his 2023 New Year's address, Xi stated that reunification with Taiwan is inevitable and that the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation will be accomplished by 2049, the 100th anniversary of the founding of the PRC. As early as 2012, Xi declared "achieving rejuvenation is the dream of the Chinese people."

The CCP Central Committee in November 2021 declared that resolving the Taiwan question and achieving China's complete reunification is a historic mission and an unwavering commitment of the Party.

The Center for Strategic and International Studies recently conducted a war game that predicted a U.S. victory over China, with a significant loss of life and resources, including "dozens of ships, hundreds of aircraft and tens of thousands of service members," for the U.S. and its allies.

Similar conclusions were reached by the Department of Defense, the House Select Committee on China, and various think tanks through their respective war games.