In a new poll, the Republican Senate candidate is tied with the Democrat in a crucial deep blue state.

Republican Governor Larry Hogan is seeking to capture a Democrat-held Senate seat in the blue state of Maryland.

In a new poll, the Republican Senate candidate is tied with the Democrat in a crucial deep blue state.
In a new poll, the Republican Senate candidate is tied with the Democrat in a crucial deep blue state.

In Maryland, a recent poll shows a tied Senate race, with Republicans attempting to flip a Democratic seat in a heavily blue state. This crucial contest could determine whether the GOP regains control of the Senate majority.

The AARP public opinion survey released on Tuesday shows that both Republican nominee Larry Hogan and Democratic nominee Angela Alsobrooks have 46% support among likely voters in Maryland.

Seven percent were undecided, according to the survey conducted Aug. 14-20.

Larry Hogan wins GOP Senate nomination in Maryland
Former two-term Gov. Larry Hogan of Maryland celebrates his victory in the 2024 Maryland Republican Senate primary, in Annapolis, Maryland, on May 14, 2024. (Planet Chronicle - Paul Steinhauser)

Since the May primary in Maryland, the poll is the first to suggest a tied race, with previous surveys indicating Alsobrooks leading. The November election will determine the successor of Democratic Sen. Ben Cardin, who is retiring this year after serving nearly two decades in the Senate and nearly six decades as a state and federal lawmaker.

In Maryland, Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump by 30 points in a multi-candidate field and by 32 points in a head-to-head match-up, according to a poll.

Alsobrooks Maryland
Maryland Gov. Wes Moore, Maryland Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate and Prince George's County Executive Angela Alsobrooks and Vice President Kamala Harris, right, stand on stage together after speaking at a campaign event on Gun Violence Awareness Day at Kentland Community Center on June 7, 2024 in Landover, Maryland. (Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)

"Trump is trailing Hogan by 32 points in the poll, with no surprise in his poor performance among major demographic groups."

Democrats hold a slim 51-49 majority in the Senate, while Republicans have a favorable election outlook with Democrats defending 23 of the 34 seats up for reelection.

In 2020, Trump won West Virginia's deep red seat by nearly 40 points. With moderate Democrat-turned-Independent Sen. Joe Manchin not running for re-election, the GOP is almost certain to flip the seat.

In addition to targeting seats in Ohio and Montana, Republicans are also focusing on flipping Democratic-held seats in crucial presidential-election battleground states.

The unexpected headache for Democrats in a previously safe state came when Hogan entered the Senate race in February, as they tried to protect their fragile majority.

Despite Maryland's significant Democratic voter registration edge, Hogan has made the race competitive by winning over Independents by 23 points and a quarter of Democrats.

Trump in Michigan
Republican Presidential nominee former President Donald Trump takes questions at a campaign event in Howell, Michigan, on Aug. 21, 2024. (Nic Antaya/Getty Images)

Trump critic Hogan, who had flirted with a 2024 presidential run, has consistently stated that he will not vote for the former president in the upcoming election. In the spring, Hogan distinguished himself from other Republicans by publicly advocating for the conviction of Trump in his criminal trial.

In a Planet Chronicle Digital interview earlier this year, Hogan stated that it would be difficult for Trump to be the top Republican candidate because he lost Hogan's state by 33 points. However, Hogan believes they will be able to overcome this challenge.

The bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (Republican) & Impact Research (Democrat) conducted an AARP poll, interviewing 1,258 likely voters in Maryland.

by Paul Steinhauser

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