A recent poll indicates that Harris is gaining ground in a state previously considered to be a stronghold for Trump.
In both 2016 and 2020, Trump secured a victory in Iowa with a margin of more than 9 points.
In Iowa, former President Trump's lead over Vice President Kamala Harris has narrowed significantly.
The Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll released Sunday shows that Harris has reduced Trump's lead in Iowa by four points, with Trump leading Harris 47% to 43%.
In spring, Trump led Biden by 18 points in Iowa, but a recent poll shows a reversal, with Biden now leading by 10 points.
"According to pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., Trump wouldn't consider 4 points as a comfortable lead in the poll, which was released by the Des Moines Register in response to the first Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll since Harris became the Democratic nominee. The race has tightened significantly."
Iowa has been overlooked in this year's race, not considered a swing state like Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. Most analysts believe the state to be safely red, with Trump winning it by nearly 10 percentage points in 2016 and a similar margin in 2020. It seems challenging for Harris to overcome this margin in 2024.
In recent elections, Iowa has been a swing state, with Democratic Vice President Al Gore winning in 2000, Republican President George W. Bush in 2004, and former President Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012.
Harris' ability to win over former Midwestern swing states such as Iowa or Ohio could strengthen her position in the race come November, even if one poll doesn't significantly alter the overall dynamic.
In Iowa, the Harris surge can mainly be attributed to female voters, as the poll shows the vice president leading Trump among women 53% to 36%. On the other hand, Trump leads among men in the state 59% to 32%.
In the June poll, only 8% of women said they would vote in the upcoming election, but now, 16% of women have indicated that they will vote.
Those younger than 45, those from cities, and those with a college degree all experienced an increase in plans to vote.
Selzer stated that the poll may have attracted newly energized voters who initially planned to abstain from voting in the election, as reflected in the June poll.
The survey was conducted from Sept. 8 to 11, involving 811 Iowa residents aged 18 and above, with a sampling error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.
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