A new poll suggests a competitive edge for either Harris or Trump in this crucial swing state.

A recent poll conducted in Wisconsin shows Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump by three points.

An AARP poll conducted Sept 11-14 and released on Wednesday shows that Harris has 48% support among likely voters in Wisconsin, while Trump has 45% support. Despite this, the vice president's three-point margin over the former president is within the poll's overall sampling error of plus or minus four points.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a former Democrat who recently endorsed Trump and suspended his campaign, has 2% support in the poll, while Jill Stein of the Green Party has 1%. One percent of respondents said they would support a different candidate, and 2% were undecided.

On Monday, a Wisconsin judge rejected Kennedy's plea to remove his name from the presidential ballot, stating that under state law, candidates must remain on the ballot unless they pass away.

An 11-point advantage among independent voters and a 11-point lead among women voters contribute to Harris' overall edge, while Trump has a 7-point advantage among men voters.

The poll showed a significant geographic gap, with Harris leading among urban and suburban voters while Trump had a substantial advantage among rural voters.

The poll's release highlights the significant educational attainment gap, with Trump leading non-college voters by 10 points, while Harris leads college+ voters by 24 points.

If the third-party and independent presidential candidates are excluded from the poll, the head-to-head matchup between Harris and Trump shows Harris leading by 1%, with 3% undecided.

This month, four consecutive polls in Wisconsin show Harris with a slight lead, according to the AARP survey.

The 2020 presidential election between Trump and President Biden was decided by razor-thin margins in Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, and Nevada. These seven states are also likely to determine the outcome of the 2024 presidential election between Harris and Trump.

The "Blue Wall" in the Rust Belt region comprises of three states, namely Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, which are all Democratic strongholds.

For 25 years, the party consistently won all three states until Trump narrowly captured them in the 2016 election, securing his victory in the White House.

In 2020, Biden won all three states by narrow margins, defeating Trump and returning them to the Democrats' fold.

This summer, the Democratic and Republican presidential candidates have frequently visited the state.

Trump held a rally in Mosinee a week and a half ago, while Harris will return to Wisconsin on Friday for a rally in Madison.

In addition to their campaign stops, the running mates are also holding events in the state. Ohio Sen. JD Vance is hosting a campaign event in Eau Claire on Tuesday, while Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz is visiting Superior last weekend.

In addition to the White House contest, Wisconsin hosts a pivotal Senate race that is among a few that will determine whether the GOP can regain control of the Senate majority.

In the poll, Sen. Tammy Baldwin narrowly leads Eric Hovde 50% to 47%, with 3% of voters undecided.

The AARP survey in Wisconsin was conducted by a bipartisan polling team comprising Fabrizio Ward (Republican) and Impact Research (Democrat). The firms interviewed 1,052 likely voters, including a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters.