If Harris maintains her lead among White working-class voters, she will secure victory, according to CNN's data expert.
Harry Enten of CNN stated that the reason for Harris' advantages lies in her closing gap with Trump.
If Vice President Kamala Harris continues to gain support among non-college-educated White voters who were previously loyal to Trump, she is likely to win the election.
Harry Enten from CNN shared a clip of his appearance on CNN and posed the question, "What was the reason behind Harris's success in the NYT polls last week in the crucial battleground states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin?" He then stated, "Harris is performing significantly better than Biden among Trump's base of White working-class voters. If she maintains these numbers, she will win."
In the video he shared from Wednesday's episode of "Erin Burnett OutFront," he discussed how former President Trump is gradually losing support among the group of voters who helped him win the election in 2016.
"Donald Trump's core group consists of White working class voters and White voters without a college degree, which helped him break down the blue wall in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin in the Great Lakes region. His support has increased since the match-up was between him and Joe Biden a few months ago."
Enten suggested that the Harris-Walz campaign's efforts to win over this demographic may help her win the election, despite Trump still leading with this group.
"Donald Trump's lead has shrunk significantly, from 25 points in May to 14 points in August, leaving him nearly sliced in half. Harris's numbers among those voters are actually slightly better than Biden's four years ago, and she needs to maintain these numbers to win."
Enten pointed out that despite Burnett's observation that Harris' appeal defied previous expectations, he noted that the gap between Trump and Harris among working-class White voters is narrowing. However, he emphasized that elections ultimately come down to margins.
The election is a change election, and it's also about change. She is gaining support among White working-class voters on the issue of economic change.
The data guru highlighted the importance of winning over White working class voters not only in the blue wall but also across the electorate.
"Across the board, non-college Whites are a significant group, making up a plurality of voters in the electorate. When compared to college-educated Whites, African Americans, and Hispanics, particularly in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, they are the majority of voters. The reason for Harris's advantage over Trump is that she is closing the gap with non-college Whites."
These surprise findings, Enten stated, are "a positive development for Democrats."
Susan Wiles, a crucial Trump campaign strategist, consistently minimizes the significance of the demographic often viewed as Trump's base, instead seeking support from other groups.
In a July interview with The Atlantic, Wiles was questioned about a quote from one of Trump's allies that seemed to be paraphrased, "For every Karen we lose, we're going to gain a Jamal and an Enrique."
"Wiles stated to the interviewer that it is a fact that he believes in the realignment of the party, and he is confident that they will not lose all the Karens, as they are aware of their surroundings and purchase essentials like eggs and gas."
In 2020, when asked about her "winning campaign," Trump went on to lose, Wiles had previously expressed similar rhetoric about realigning the party.
Wiles stated that the traditional Republican coalition can no longer elect Republicans, so they need to bring in more Hispanic voters to make it appealing to African-Americans.
She proudly declared that the 2020 campaign was successful.
media
You might also like
- With Trump's appearance, 'Gutfeld!' records its highest viewership ever.
- Trump supporter criticized by CNN reporter for complaining about the economy while owning a boat.
- Melania Trump was present at Rosalynn Carter's funeral, according to Hillary Clinton.
- The former New York Times bureau chief's plea for Harris to answer questions more directly would be beneficial.
- Clinton is certain that Harris will secure the popular vote over Trump.