Early voting numbers are 'alarming' for Harris, Democrats are 'worried,' former Obama campaign manager advises.

Democrats have traditionally preferred early voting, but Republicans are now focusing on persuading voters to cast their ballots early.

Early voting numbers are 'alarming' for Harris, Democrats are 'worried,' former Obama campaign manager advises.
Early voting numbers are 'alarming' for Harris, Democrats are 'worried,' former Obama campaign manager advises.

Early voting data in battleground states shows Republicans gaining a significant advantage over Democrats, according to Jim Messina, Obama 2012 campaign manager, who said on MSNBC Sunday that the numbers are "scary" for the Harris campaign.

Messina stated on "Inside with Jen Psaki" that the early vote numbers are a bit concerning for the Harris campaign.

"Messina stated that Republicans did not follow their previous strategy of not early voting, which gave them an advantage in early vote numbers. However, the early votes in 2022 may look different than in 2020, which is concerning."

Obama 2012 campaign manager Jim Messina on MSNBC Sunday.
Obama 2012 campaign manager Jim Messina on MSNBC Sunday. (MSNBC)

According to Messina, Democrats are happy with the early voting of two crucial voting groups - women and young voters, demographics that the Harris campaign is relying on.

In the past 10 days, young voters in battleground states have been coming out in historic numbers, making up 55% of early voters.

Messina stated that the early vote totals have caused many of his friends to panic when comparing the data to 2020.

Early voting has been traditionally preferred by Democrats, but both parties have encouraged voters to vote early in this election, resulting in a significant impact.

In Nevada, a crucial swing state, new numbers reveal historic early-voting numbers for Republicans, who led Democrats by approximately 5% in the early vote that ended in person on Friday. According to the secretary of state's website, 393,811 votes were cast for Republicans, 344,539 for Democrats, and 287,762 for other affiliations during early voting.

Voters casting ballots in Georgia
Voters cast their ballots during the last day of early voting in Gwinnett County, Georgia on November 1, 2024. (Nathan Posner/Anadolu via Getty Images)

In 2020, Democrats had a 43,000-vote advantage over Republicans at the end of early voting, while Republicans had a 49,000-vote advantage at the end of the week.

Some pundits and politicians outside the Republican Party have warned Democrats in Nevada about the GOP's early-vote surge.

""We cannot let Republicans dominate early voting in Nevada," said Democratic Congresswoman Dina Titus during a rally in North Las Vegas."

In Georgia, Republicans are optimistic that the state's record-breaking early voting numbers will benefit Trump. Despite losing Georgia by less than 1% in 2020, Republicans have invested significantly in efforts to regain the state.

During the early voting period between Oct. 15 and Nov. 1, nearly 4 million Georgians cast in-person or absentee ballots, which is more than half the state's active voters. However, over 700,000 people who voted already in 2024 did not vote at all in 2020, according to Georgia Votes. Additionally, the top three counties for voter turnout rates are rural areas that were won by Trump in 2020.

According to a source on the Trump campaign, in four key battleground states - Arizona, North Carolina, Nevada, and Pennsylvania, there are over 1.4 million voters who have previously cast their ballots before Election Day in 2020 or 2022 but have not yet voted in the upcoming election. Additionally, many of these voters have not even requested a mail ballot.

According to the outlet, Republicans currently lead by 9 points relative to 2020 numbers, with early voting data from Arizona showing a 8-point advantage.

Two women standing near voting machine
Voters cast their ballots at an early voting location in Atlanta, Georgia on October 31, 2024. (Nathan Posner/Anadolu via Getty Images)

In Nevada, Republicans are leading by 9 points in early-vote party registration, according to the Post.

The Post reported that Republicans have never before won the early vote in North Carolina, according to the article.

According to the Post, while Democrats are currently ahead in early votes in Pennsylvania, Republicans are reportedly better positioned than they were in 2020.

Planet Chronicle' Andrew Mark Miller and Elizabeth Elkind contributed to this report.

by Yael Halon

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