A CNN data reporter forecasts that Trump will secure a "record-breaking" number of Black and Hispanic votes.

Richard Nixon had the best performance with Black voters, predicts Harry Enten.

A CNN data reporter forecasts that Trump will secure a "record-breaking" number of Black and Hispanic votes.
A CNN data reporter forecasts that Trump will secure a "record-breaking" number of Black and Hispanic votes.

On Sunday, CNN data reporter Harry Enten predicted that former President Donald Trump is likely to receive a "historic" number of Black and Hispanic votes in the upcoming November election.

Enten disclosed on "Inside Politics" that Democrats may face negative consequences and that Republicans are currently surpassing Democrats in party affiliation and enrollment for the first time in nearly four decades.

According to Enten, if the polling is to be believed, Donald Trump will give the best performance with Black voters since Richard Nixon in the 1960s at this specific hour.

On Sunday, a New York Times/Siena College poll indicated that Vice President Kamala Harris received 78% of the Black vote. In 2016, Hillary Clinton won the Black vote with 92%, while President Biden received approximately 90% in 2020.

trump
Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump speaks to supporters during a campaign event at Saginaw Valley State University on October 03, 2024, in Saginaw, Michigan. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)

On Sunday, Enten stated on a CNN panel that Trump is predicted to deliver the strongest performance for a Republican among Hispanic voters since George W. Bush in 2004.

According to Enten, the GOP currently leads by a point in party identification, which is better than the average when they win. When the Republican Party loses, the average party ID advantage for Democrats is 8 points, but when they win, it is only 3 points.

Trump's party registration and party ID data indicate a positive trend.

Could Trump's poor performance among minority groups be offset by Harris' strong support among college-educated White voters?

CNN data reporter Harry Enten
CNN data reporter Harry Enten predicted that Trump may win a historic number of Black and Hispanic voters.  (CNN/Screenshot)

Is Kamala Harris's strong performance with White voters with a college degree enough to counterbalance her weaknesses in other areas? Despite having the strongest margin with this group among Democrats in recent history, she still faces challenges in winning over other voter demographics.

Enten calculated that Harris is winning the demographic by 18 points.

On Sunday, an NBC News survey of registered voters revealed that the two candidates are nearly equally supported among voters.

In a hypothetical one-on-one matchup, both Trump and Harris received 48% of the votes in a poll conducted from Oct. 4 to Oct. 8.

The inclusion of third-party figures resulted in a 47% support for Trump and 46% for Harris.

by Nikolas Lanum

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