Democrats hold a slim advantage in six key house races, while Republicans struggle to maintain their narrow majority.

Political analyst adjusts US election predictions, shifting 8 races in favor of Democrats and 2 toward Republicans.

Democrats hold a slim advantage in six key house races, while Republicans struggle to maintain their narrow majority.
Democrats hold a slim advantage in six key house races, while Republicans struggle to maintain their narrow majority.

In eight House races across the country, political winds have shifted in favor of Democrats, who are experiencing a surge of enthusiasm for their new presidential candidate with less than two months until Election Day.

A nonpartisan analysis by the Cook Political Report shows that Democrats have gained six races, while Republicans have only improved in two, the report states.

Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., has spent the summer campaigning for fellow GOP lawmakers in an effort to maintain his narrow four-seat majority in the House.

Speaker Johnson and Leader Jeffries
Speaker Mike Johnson and Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries are battling for control of the House. (Getty Images)

In 2020, President Biden won two districts, but GOP representatives Don Bacon and Michelle Steele, who represent those districts, have switched their ratings from "lean Republican" to "toss up."

In 2020, Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks, R-Iowa, shifted her seat from red to blue, but her race moved from a "likely" victory for Republicans to a narrow lead in their favor.

The three Democratic seats held by representatives Jared Moskowitz, D-Fla., Marcy Kaptur, D-Ohio, and Henry Cuellar, D-Texas, have become safer for the left.

The race predictions for Moskowitz and Cuellar have changed to "likely" blue and solidly blue, respectively, while Kaptur's seat is now leaning Democratic after being previously classified as a "toss-up."

In Alaska, where former President Trump won in 2020, the race for Rep. Mary Peltola's seat is now a "toss-up," which could impact Democrats' chances of losing a seat in the House.

Marcy Kaptur
Rep. Marcy Kaptur's re-election race is now projected more favorably for Democrats than before. (Bill Clark)

After Rep. Lauren Boebert vacates the 3rd Congressional District in Colorado to run in the 4th Congressional District, it is "likely" that Republicans will hold the seat.

The DCCC celebrated its victory over Cook's latest updates on Friday.

The DCCC spokesperson, Viet Shelton, stated in a press release that the House Democrats are gaining momentum and enthusiasm from grassroots supporters nationwide, while House GOP incumbents and candidates are struggling to keep up.

Before Biden's surprise announcement to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race in late July, Republicans seemed poised to secure both the White House and Congress.

Despite a lack of expansive policy platforms and few unscripted media appearances, Democrats have been enthusiastic about their new candidate, Vice President Kamala Harris.

Despite the pessimism of some House Republicans, at least one spoke with Planet Chronicle Digital this week and expressed optimism about the GOP's chances of winning.

According to predictive sites, there is a 42% chance that Donald Trump will become president. With a 60% chance of winning the Senate and a 55% chance of keeping the House, the GOP lawmaker believes they have a better hand of cards than they currently do.

"If Donald Trump is elected, it is likely that a Republican House and Senate will be ushered in along with him."

Donald Trump
One House Republican predicted Republicans would keep the House and win the Senate if Donald Trump won the presidency. (Getty Images)

Recently, GOP leaders in the House voiced worries about being surpassed in fundraising by Democrats.

In August, Rep. Richard Hudson, R-N.C., the head of the House GOP campaign arm, the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC), stated that he raised concerns in comments to Fox Business.

At that time, Hudson stated that the fundraising on the Democrat side had skyrocketed, and he cautioned his candidates and colleagues in Congress to intensify their efforts in order to secure victory.

The response from House Republicans has been "great," as stated by him, with "everyone stepping up" and "a number of people pledging more money to the committee." He believes that "folks are ready for the fight."

This report was contributed to by Grady Trimble of Fox Business and Tyler Olson of Planet Chronicle.

by Elizabeth Elkind

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