In 2024, Trump outperformed in the top 10 states.

President-elect's strongest performances in 2020 occurred in consistently blue regions.

In 2024, Trump outperformed in the top 10 states.
In 2024, Trump outperformed in the top 10 states.

Last week, President-elect Trump won six highly competitive states in his election victory. However, a Planet Chronicle analysis revealed that his gains with voters extended beyond the battlegrounds.

This list covers the 10 states where Trump most outperformed his 2020 margins.

Notably, states with conservative strongholds aren't the only ones on the list. The top 10 also includes deeply Democrat areas. Despite Trump not winning these states, they shifted to the right.

Some highly populated states, including California and New York, are still counting votes.

Trump speaks campaign event
Donald Trump's gains in 2024 were not limited to battleground states. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci/File)

1. New York

In New York, about 3% of ballots remain uncounted.

  • 2020 Winner: Biden +23.1 points
  • 2024 Winner: Harris +11.8 points
  • Swing toward Trump: 11 points

So far, New York has swung 11 points toward Trump.

New York City skyline
New York swung 11 points toward Trump, with the president-elect's greatest gains being made on Long Island and within New York City. (Gary Hershorn/Getty Images)

While Vice President Harris slipped by five points, the president-elect posted a 6.3-point improvement on his 2020 vote share.

He experienced the most significant growth throughout the state, with his greatest fluctuations occurring in New York City and Long Island.

On election night, the Planet Chronicle Decision Desk predicted that Harris would win the state. Currently, she leads by 12 points with 97% of the vote counted.

2. New Jersey

In New Jersey, about 1% of ballots remain uncounted.

  • 2020 Winner: Biden +15.9 points
  • 2024 Winner: Harris +5.9 points
  • Swing toward Trump: 10 points

So far, New Jersey has swung 10 points toward Trump.

While the president-elect gained 4.7 points in his 2020 vote share, Harris lost 5.3 points.

Cape May, New Jersey
New Jersey saw a 10-point swing toward the president-elect, with Passaic and Union counties, both rife with urban hot spots on New York City's outskirts, seeing the biggest trends toward him. (iStock)

Across New Jersey, he gained the most, with his largest swings occurring in the northeast corner of the state. Hudson and Passaic counties were at the forefront.

On election night, the Planet Chronicle Decision Desk predicted that Harris would win the state. Currently, she leads by six points with 99% of the vote counted.

3. Florida

  • 2020 Winner: Trump +3.3 points
  • 2024 Winner: Trump +13.1 points
  • Swing toward Trump: 9.8 points

Florida swung 10 points toward Trump.

The president-elect gained 4.9 percentage points in his 2020 vote share, while Harris lost the same amount.

The most significant shift occurred in Miami-Dade County, where the GOP gained control for the first time since 1988.

On election night, the Planet Chronicle Decision Desk predicted that Trump would win the state by 13 points after the results were certified.

Miami Florida beach
President-elect Trump won Florida by 13.1% of the vote, flipping Miami-Dade County red among numerous others. (iStock)

4. Massachusetts

  • 2020 Winner: Biden +33.6 points
  • 2024 Winner: Harris +24.8 points
  • Swing toward Trump: 8.8 points

Massachusetts swung nine points toward Trump.

The president-elect gained 4.2 percentage points in his 2020 vote share while Harris lost 4.6 points.

Across the state, double-digit swings were observed in Suffolk County, which includes Boston and Bristol County.

On election night, the Planet Chronicle Decision Desk predicted that Harris would win the state by 25 points with 99% of the vote counted.

5. California

Approximately 5% of ballots in California have not yet been counted.

  • 2020 Winner: Biden +29.2 points
  • 2024 Winner: Harris +20.6 points
  • Swing toward Trump: 8.6 points

So far, California has swung nine points toward Trump.

San Fran skyline
Vice President Harris didn't see a home-field advantage in her native California, which swung some 8.6% toward her opponent. (REUTERS/Carlos Barria)

The president-elect gained 3.8 points in his vote share while Harris lost 4.8 points in the 2020 election.

He made progress in numerous regions throughout the state, including the two largest cities, Los Angeles and San Francisco.

On election night, the Planet Chronicle Decision Desk predicted that Harris would win the state. Currently, she leads by 21 points with 95% of the vote counted.

6. Texas

  • 2020 Winner: Trump +5.6 points
  • 2024 Winner: Trump +13.9 points
  • Swing toward Trump: 8.3 points

Texas swung eight points toward Trump.

The president-elect gained a 4.2-point increase in his 2020 vote share, while Harris lost approximately the same amount.

Texas highway
Texans, particularly those in the Rio Grande Valley, decisively swung right in their voting habits this year, disappointing Democrats hoping for big gains in the Dallas-Fort Worth, Houston and Austin suburbs. (Callaghan OHare/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

In Texas, the largest swings in voter behavior were observed in the southern regions, with Webb County, which includes Laredo, moving 25 points towards Trump, marking the first Republican victory in the area in over a century.

On election night, the Planet Chronicle Decision Desk predicted that Trump would win the state by 14 points with 99% of the vote counted.

7. Mississippi

Approximately 2% of ballots in Mississippi have not yet been counted.

  • 2020 Winner: Trump +16.5 points
  • 2024 Winner: Trump +24.3 points
  • Swing toward Trump: 7.8 points

So far, Mississippi has swung eight points toward Trump.

The president-elect gained four percentage points in his 2020 vote share, while Harris lost roughly the same amount.

Across the state, including in Yazoo County, a majority-Black county that last voted for the GOP in 2004, he gained a majority.

On election night, the Planet Chronicle Decision Desk predicted that Trump would win the state. Currently, he leads by 24 points with 98% of the vote counted.

8. Rhode Island

  • 2020 Winner: Biden +20.9 points
  • 2024 Winner: Harris +13.6 points
  • Swing toward Trump: 7.3 points

Rhode Island swung seven points toward Trump.

Providence, Rhode Island
Rhode Island saw a 7.3% swing in Trump's favor, with gains being observed across the state, including in its capital, Providence. (Visions of America/Joseph Sohm/Universal Images Group via Getty Images)

While the president-elect gained 3.3 points in his 2020 vote share, Harris lost 4 points.

The city's highest-populated area, Providence, led the state in population growth.

On election night, the Planet Chronicle Decision Desk predicted that Harris would win the state. Currently, she leads by 14 points with 98% of the vote counted.

9. Tennessee

  • 2020 Winner: Trump +23.2 points
  • 2024 Winner: Trump +29.7 points
  • Swing toward Trump: 6.5 points

Tennessee swung 6.5 points toward Trump.

While the president-elect gained 3.5 points in his 2020 vote share, Harris lost three points.

Nashville Tennessee
Tennessee swung decisively in Trump's favor despite worrying trends for Republicans in suburban Nashville in recent years. Trousdale County, situated just outside the metro area, swung toward the president-elect by double digits. (iStock)

Trousdale County, a rural area outside the Nashville metropolitan area, experienced a double-digit swing, while he gained across the state.

On election night, the Planet Chronicle Decision Desk predicted that Trump would win the state by 30 points with 99% of the vote counted.

10. Illinois

In Illinois, about 1% of ballots remain uncounted.

  • 2020 Winner: Biden +16.9 points
  • 2024 Winner: Harris +10.6 points
  • Swing toward Trump: 6.3 points

So far, Illinois has swung six points toward Trump.

The president-elect gained 3.4 percentage points in his 2020 vote share, while Harris lost 2.9 points.

Cook County, home to Chicago, experienced a significant eight-point swing in favor of him, contributing to his gains across Illinois.

On election night, the Planet Chronicle Decision Desk predicted that Harris would win the state. Currently, she leads by 11 points with 99% of the vote counted.

by Rémy Numa

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