Final battleground poll numbers released by major pollster.

In four of the seven crucial battleground states, Harris maintains a narrow edge.

Final battleground poll numbers released by major pollster.
Final battleground poll numbers released by major pollster.

In the days before the election, the final New York Times/Siena College Battleground poll of the 2024 race reveals a razor-tight election in the battleground states.

In Arizona, Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Trump, while Trump holds a lead in Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, and Wisconsin. The poll shows that the two candidates are tied in Michigan and Pennsylvania.

"The poll results are too close to determine a clear winner," Siena Research stated in a social media post.

Trump and Harris split image
Former President Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris

In Arizona, the former president holds a four-point lead over Harris, 49-45.

In Georgia, Harris leads by one point (48-47); in North Carolina, he has a two-point advantage (48-46); in Nevada, he leads by three points (49-46); and in Wisconsin, he has a two-point lead (49-47).

The poll, conducted by the New York Times/Siena, is not the only one showing a tight margin just two days before the upcoming election, which is expected to be one of the closest in recent memory.

Trump in Arizona
Former President Trump gestures at Desert Diamond Arena, on Thursday, Oct. 31, in Glendale, Arizona. (AP/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)

The Real Clear Politics polling average shows Trump leading in five key swing states: Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia.

In Wisconsin, Harris holds a slender advantage of 0.3 points, while in Michigan, he leads by 0.6 points.

The New York Times/Siena College poll surveyed the Senate races in battleground states for the last time, revealing that Democrats Rep. Ruben Gallego in Arizona, Elissa Slotkin in Michigan, North Carolina Attorney General Josh Stein, Sen. Jacky Rosen in Nevada, and Sen. Tammy Baldwin in Wisconsin had a lead in their respective races. No Republican Senate candidate was found to have a lead in their races, according to the poll.

Rep Elissa Slotkin
Rep. Elissa Slotkin departs after speaking at the Democratic National Convention on Aug. 22, 2024, in Chicago. (Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

A New York Times/Siena College poll surveyed 7,879 voters in seven battleground states from Oct. 24 to Nov. 2, with a margin of error ranging from 3.4% to 4.1%.

by Michael Lee

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