Despite leading Trump by 2 points in a national poll, Harris exhibits weaknesses among non-White voters.

A significant number of Republicans and independents express worry over the possibility of voter fraud.

Despite leading Trump by 2 points in a national poll, Harris exhibits weaknesses among non-White voters.
Despite leading Trump by 2 points in a national poll, Harris exhibits weaknesses among non-White voters.

The November election is too close to call between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, according to a recent poll.

In a national survey of likely voters, Trump trails Harris by a narrow 2%, according to the latest NPR/PBS News/Marist Poll.

Among registered voters, the poll indicates that Harris leads Trump by a small margin, with 50% support for Harris and 47% for Trump.

Trump at podium
Trump delivers remarks to the press at Trump Tower in New York City. (ANGELA WEISS/AFP via Getty Images)

In November, Trump is ahead of Harris among independent voters who are likely to vote, with 50% support for Trump and 46% for Harris.

Early voters who plan to cast ballots via mail or absentee ballot are more likely to support Harris (71%) than Trump (28%).

On Election Day, 58% of voters who planned to cast ballots the traditional way supported Trump, while 40% voted against him.

Those who plan to vote early in person for Trump are split 50% to 48%.

In this year's election, a majority of respondents expressed concern or great concern about the possibility of voter fraud. Republicans (86%) and independents (55%) were significantly more likely to suspect voter fraud than Democrats (33%).

Trump leads Harris among white voters by 8 percentage points, while Harris leads Trump among non-white voters by 21 percentage points. However, Harris still trails Biden's support among non-white voters by 12 percentage points.

Harris waving
Harris greets supporters during a campaign event at Cochise College Douglas Campus in Douglas, Arizona.  (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

In this election, there is a significant difference of 34% between men and women's voting intentions. While 57% of men plan to vote for Trump, 41% prefer Harris. On the other hand, 58% of women intend to vote for Harris, compared to 40% who choose Trump.

The NPR/PBS News/Marist Poll was conducted from Sept. 27 to Oct. 1 and utilized phone, text, and online surveys.

The results for registered voters are statistically significant within a margin of error of ±3.5%, while the results for likely voters are statistically significant within a margin of error of ±3.7%.

by Timothy Nerozzi

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