Black voters continue to support Harris, while Trump's numbers remain stable: poll

A Monday poll indicates that more Black Americans are planning to vote on Election Day since Vice President Kamala Harris has replaced President Biden as the Democratic nominee.

A recent poll by The Washington Post-Ipsos found that 69% of Black Americans are "absolutely certain" to vote on Election Day, while a New York Times poll from Sunday revealed that 56% of Black Americans are "almost certain" to vote, with an additional 33% saying they are "very likely" to vote.

Young Black voters, particularly women, have been most influenced by Harris' candidacy, with a 15-point increase in the share of Black Americans under 30 who plan to vote, from 32% in April to 47% now. Similarly, the intent to vote among Black women under 40 has increased by 18 points since April, from 39% to 57%.

According to the Post, 82% of Black registered voters favor Harris over Trump, while only 12% say they favor Trump. Meanwhile, in the Times poll, 78% of Black Americans said they favored Trump, and Trump again scored 14%.

A poll was conducted by The Post and Ipsos from Aug. 23 to Sept. 3, with a sample size of 1,083 Black Americans. The poll's margin of error is 3.2%.

Harris has a solid majority of support from Black voters on most issues, but loses out on a majority when it comes to Israel's war with Hamas, with 49% of Black Americans saying they trust her to handle the issue. However, a striking 28% said neither candidate could be trusted on the topic.

On the issue of immigration, 19% of Black Americans believe that Trump is the best person to handle it, while Harris maintains a commanding 55% support.

The poll is conducted one day before the first presidential debate between Harris and Trump, and their campaigns have already prepared their lines of attack.

Trump is predicted to emphasize Harris' part in the 2021 withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan, where 13 soldiers were killed in a suicide bombing. Several family members of those soldiers have backed Trump and condemned Harris in recent weeks.

This week, Harris' campaign responded to criticism by releasing a letter signed by 10 retired generals and admirals, stating that President Biden and Harris had done their best with the poor situation left behind by Trump's administration.