Beyond the battlegrounds, Trump's election gains were substantial.
In battleground states that helped Trump win the election, his gains were slower than those made in reliably blue states like NY.
Trump won six closely contested states during his election, but his success with voters extended beyond the battlegrounds.
Trump gained support in both conservative and Democratic regions, resulting in an increase in his vote share nationwide.
The election story's critical part was when Trump formed a broader coalition and led on two defining campaign issues.
Trump gained in the battlegrounds and beyond, including traditionally Democratic areas
In all seven battleground states, Trump gained ground. He gained 1.8 points in Michigan and Pennsylvania, 1.4 points in Georgia, just over a point in North Carolina, and under a point in Wisconsin.
Currently, the largest gains for Trump are in Nevada and Arizona, among the ten states with substantial votes remaining to be counted.
In reliably Democratic states, Trump's best performances relative to 2020 were seen, despite these states voting for Democrats by narrower margins than before.
In New York, the former and future president experienced a 6.4-point improvement.
Notably, his county-level gains were spread across the state, including an improvement in all five New York City boroughs, where some votes are still left to be counted.
In New Jersey, he achieved a 5-point improvement, reducing his loss margin to 5.5 points, which is the best performance for a Republican candidate in over three decades.
In the upcoming gubernatorial races, New Jersey and Virginia are likely to become key battlegrounds in future elections, with Trump's lead of 2.4 points since 2020.
In Illinois, Trump gained an additional 4.2 percentage points since 2020, indicating his popularity among the state's urban population.
As predicted by some pre-election polls, the president-elect won another five points in Florida, where Democrats had fought hard for victory in the previous election.
Trump made significant gains in conservative states like Texas, Tennessee, South Carolina, and Idaho, posting a 3-point improvement in all four. He also saw smaller improvements in over a dozen other states.
No state in the country has seen a weaker performance from Trump than in his previous election.
Harris’ gains limited to a handful of disparate areas
Since the last election, Harris has surpassed President Biden's vote share in only one state, Utah, by 0.6 points.
In Utah, Trump outperformed his 2020 results by about a point. However, it was third-party candidates who experienced the most significant decline. (There are still many ballots left to count.)
To discover positives about Harris, you must look for a few counties throughout the country.
In a few counties in the Georgia metropolitan area, the Vice President outperformed his opponents by 2-9 points, with the highest improvement occurring in Henry, Rockdale, and Douglas counties.
In some North Carolina counties affected by Hurricane Helene, particularly Democratic-leaning Buncombe, she made significant improvements, posting a 4-point gain in each.
In contrast to the national trend, Kaufman County in the Dallas suburbs shifted approximately 6 points towards Harris.
In Chaffee County, Colorado, also known as the "Heart of the Rockies," Harris experienced a slight increase in votes.
There are indications that certain regions of Oregon and Washington may become more Democratic in the 2020 election results.
Nearly all voters shifted away from the Democrats during this election cycle.
Trump created a broader coalition and led on the top two issues
According to the Planet Chronicle Voter Analysis, Trump's gains were due to various groups, and he won on two crucial issues.
As the Polling Unit writes:
Trump's victory was driven by his strong stance on the economy and immigration, which were top concerns for voters. He was perceived as a stronger leader than Harris during a tumultuous time, and his presidency was remembered more positively than the current administration. Trump increased his support among his base while reducing traditional Democratic advantages among Black, Hispanic, and young voters.
The complete Planet Chronicle Voter Analysis is available on planetchronicle.net.
politics
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