As Election Day approaches, VP Harris brings hope to Democrats.
A small number of seats must be won by Democrats to gain control of the House.
The 2024 election cycle is approaching its final stretch, and Vice President Harris has given Democrats hope with his optimism.
Democrats feared that President Biden's continued campaign could harm their chances of regaining the House and maintaining control of the Senate by suppressing voter turnout.
The rapid rise of Harris to the top of the ticket altered everything.
The GOP brass urged Republicans to increase their fundraising efforts to maintain their majority in the House.
"Rep. Richard Hudson, R-N.C., head of the NRCC, stated, "Our response was excellent. Many individuals contributed more money to the committee. We don't need to match their donations, but we must participate.""
To gain control of the House, Democrats need to win a few more seats. California and New York are prime targets for Democratic victories. However, they must also protect vulnerable Democrats in red or swing districts. Consider Reps. Mary Peltola, D-Alaska, and Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, D-Wash.
It is challenging for Democrats to maintain control of the Senate, with 50 Democrats and 49 Republicans currently holding seats. Following the resignation of former Sen. Bob Menendez, D-N.J., after his conviction on corruption charges, there is a temporary vacancy. Additionally, Sen. Joe Manchin, I-W.V., who currently caucuses with the Democrats, is retiring, and West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice (R) is expected to win the seat for the GOP. Democrats must retain several competitive seats in either red or battleground states, including Sens. Bob Casey, D-Penn., Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio, Tammy Baldwin, D-Wisc., Jon Tester, D-Mont., and Jacky Rosen, D-Nev. They are also trying to hold seats in swing states like Michigan and Arizona, with Sens. Debbie Stabenow, D-Mich., and Kyrsten Sinema, I-Ariz., both retiring.
Democrats are confident because they believe they can promote a more positive message than the rhetoric of ex-President Trump.
"Sen. Gary Peters, D-Mich., head of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC), stated that Vice President Kamala Harris is an inspiring young candidate who represents a fresh face that people in the country have been searching for. According to him, Donald Trump is highly polarizing and has motivated a significant number of people to vote against him."
The outcome of presidential races in competitive states could influence the outcome of Senate elections for Democrats. If Vice President Harris wins in Michigan, it could increase the chances of Rep. Elissa Slotkin defeating former Rep. Mike Rogers. Alternatively, if former President Trump wins in Nevada, it could increase the chances of Republican Senate nominee Sam Brown defeating Sen. Jacky Rosen.
"Michigan is the focal point of the political landscape. A president cannot be elected without winning Michigan," stated Peters. "Our Senate majority will be lost unless Elissa is elected to the United States Senate. It is our responsibility to ensure her victory."
Chuck Schumer, the Senate Majority Leader from New York, is arguing that he will hold the position again in the upcoming year.
Schumer stated that they will retain the Senate and gain additional seats.
Picking up seats is yeoman’s task for Democrats.
If Democrats hold all of the competitive seats mentioned earlier, they would still only have 50 seats in the Senate. However, if it's a 50/50 split, Democrats could still be in the majority. Over the past quarter century, it has been customary (but not set in stone) that the party which wins the presidency also captures the Senate majority in an evenly split Senate. This is because the Vice President, as President of the Senate, can break ties. Therefore, a potential Vice President Walz could help Democrats gain a majority. The only other way for Democrats to achieve a Senate majority is by defeating Republican incumbents.
The GOP seats that are up for election this year are located in red states. It is unlikely that Senators John Barrasso of Wyoming and Kevin Cramer of North Dakota will lose their seats. In 2016, former President Trump received nearly 70% of the vote in Wyoming, while in 2020, he received 65% of the vote in North Dakota.
As head of the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC), Sen. Steve Daines, R-Mont., is in charge of the GOP's Senate re-election efforts. He dismissed Schumer's proposal.
"Daines stated on Fox that winning Texas and Florida is a must for the Republican candidate. However, he believes that beating Sen. Ted Cruz and Sen. Rick Scott is not possible, despite their current eight to nine point lead."
As one of his final acts as the Senate's top Republican, Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., will step down from his leadership post later this year while remaining in the body. He aims to usher in a new Senate majority.
"McConnell stated that he would prefer to pass his job to the Majority Leader instead of the Minority Leader, and that is the focus of his current activities."
McConnell is cautioning voters about the actions he anticipates the Democrats will take if they maintain control of the Senate.
McConnell stated that Schumer is discussing eliminating the filibuster.
The filibuster has been a contentious issue among Democrats, with some on the left calling for its abolition. Manchin and Sinema, however, have been staunch defenders of the Senate tradition. Despite their retirement, their support for the filibuster remains strong.
McConnell stated that he believes the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico should be admitted as states with a simple majority in the Senate.
He claims that the addition of four new Democratic senators will permanently hinder our side.
It is uncertain if Democrats will maintain control of the Senate. If they do, they may abolish the filibuster. It is not certain that all future senators from Washington, DC and Puerto Rico will be Democrats. Even if this were the case, it is not guaranteed that they would remain Democrats "in perpetuity." When Alaska and Hawaii were admitted to the Union in 1959, Alaska was expected to be the "Democratic" state and Hawaii the "Republican" state. However, the political leanings of both states have shifted over time. Alaska is now more Republican, while Hawaii is more Democratic.
Republicans are skeptical Democrats can maintain their momentum following Chicago.
"According to House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., on Fox, "They're currently on a sugar high, but I believe they'll come off of it after the convention. After Labor Day, the real campaign will begin." Johnson added, "We are optimistic and confident that we will increase our majority in November.""
Politicians who have access to positive polling data may appear cautious to manage expectations, only to shock everyone when their candidates ultimately triumph.
Schumer and Johnson both predict success in their respective chambers.
Politics involves both cheering and trying to energize voters before the election in November.
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