Voter anger over illegal immigration, crime, and the economy is predicted to drive Europe's move to the right in upcoming EU elections.

Mainstream parties may suffer significant losses as right-wing populists gain ground.

Voter anger over illegal immigration, crime, and the economy is predicted to drive Europe's move to the right in upcoming EU elections.
Voter anger over illegal immigration, crime, and the economy is predicted to drive Europe's move to the right in upcoming EU elections.

European right-wing populists are expected to give a stern message to mainstream political parties in the upcoming European Parliament elections, which begin on Thursday.

The European Parliament is expected to have a right-leaning majority for the next five years, as voters in the 27 EU countries express frustration with traditional political parties' failure to address the migrant crisis and economic challenges.

"According to Alan Mendoza, the executive director of the London-based Henry Jackson Society, the current situation in Europe is causing frustration among voters, leading them to turn to parties that offer solutions and are standing up for their concerns."

EU Elections
MILAN, ITALY - MAY 18: From left to right, Geert Wilders, leader of PVV - Partij voor de Vrijheid, Matteo Salvini, leader of Lega, Jorg Meuthen, MEP for AfD - Alternative für Deutschland, Marine Le Pen, President of RN - Rassemblement National and Laura Huhtasaari, vice president of Perussuomalaiset, attend the political rally "Prima l'Italia! Il buon senso in Europa - Towards a Common Sense Europe" at Piazza Duomo on May 18, 2019 in Milan. Representatives of 11 right-wing European parties joined a major rally, held by Italy's Deputy Prime Minister and leader of Lega Party Matteo Salvini, in order to build a pan-European alliance of populists and sovereignists ahead of the elections to the European Parliament scheduled on May 23-26. (Emanuele Cremaschi/Getty Images)

The European Council on Foreign Relations predicts that populist parties will receive a third of the votes in the upcoming elections across the EU bloc, with hard-right political parties expected to win the most votes in Austria, Belgium, the Czech Republic, France, Hungary, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, and Slovakia. Additionally, these parties are projected to make significant gains in other member states.

The European Parliament's previous term was led by a coalition of the center-right European People's Party, center-left Socialists and Democrats, and liberal Renew Europe. These parties are predicted to lose seats next week.

The right-wing populist block, comprising of Identity and Democracy and European Conservatives and Reformists groups, may obtain a quarter of the total EU Parliament seats following the election, surpassing the Renew Europe bloc and challenging the dominant pro-EU centrist parties.

Italian illegal migration
Migrants wait to board the coast guard ship "Diciotti" before being transferred to Porto Empedocle from the so-called "Hotspot" operational facility, containing over 1,700 people, on Aug. 3, 2022 in Lampedusa, Italy. The Italian island of Lampedusa reached 500% over capacity in migrant reception centres with the recent uptick in sea rescues, with former Interior Minister Matteo Salvini, leader of the League party, capitalizing on this situation with a visit during election campaigning ahead of snap elections. (Photo by Antonio Masiello/Getty Images)

The European People's Party and the new populist block may share common ground on core issues, but the center-right party is unlikely to form an official alliance with the populist groups due to their views on NATO, Ukraine, and Euroscepticism.

The rise of right-wing parties in Europe is driven by the ongoing migrant crisis, social and economic problems, and voter dissatisfaction with the political establishment, resulting in a perception of Europe's decline.

EU Elections
Farmers hold flags of European countries as they gather to listen to leaders' speeches during a protest in Brussels on Tuesday, June 4, 2024. Farmers groups hope to sweep the Green Deal climate pact off the table in this week's EU elections. (AP Photo/Omar Havana)

The policies being promoted by the far Left in the US, such as radical environmental measures, reckless spending, socialized medicine, and open borders, have been influenced by European ideas. It is crucial to monitor developments in Brussels and prevent these harmful concepts from spreading to the US, as advised by Matt Mowers, a former Trump State Department official and founding board member of the EU-U.S. Forum, in an interview with Planet Chronicle Digital.

Marine Le Pen And Jordan Bardella ahead Of European Elections
President of the French far-right Rassemblement National parliamentary group Marine Le Pen, left, and France's far-right Rassemblement National Party President and lead European Parliament election candidate Jordan Bardella sing on stage during a party campaign meeting ahead of the upcoming European Union parliamentary elections in Henin-Beaumont, northern France, on May 24, 2024. (Christian Liewig - Corbis/Corbis via Getty Images)

The data emerging from Europe is thrilling because it indicates that conservatives could gain significant victories in the European Parliament, potentially shifting the EU to the right. This could compel the EU to recognize European citizens as individuals with their own interests, rather than treating them as mere tools for the global Left-wing elite's agenda.

The EU's migrant deal in December aimed to reduce the influx of asylum seekers, but failed to alter the perception of the EU's inability to handle the crisis.

"Europe's borders are perceived as completely open, and the elite wants migrants to enter. This perception puts pressure on public services such as housing, medical services, and job opportunities. As a result, ordinary Europeans are concerned about the impact on their lives. This reflects a broader recognition that Europe's best days may be over, leading voters to embrace parties they might not have considered voting for in the past."

France Riots
Firefighters extinguish burning vehicles during clashes between protesters and police after the death of Nahel Merzouk, in the Paris suburb of Nanterre, France. (REUTERS/Stephanie Lecocq)

The success of populist parties in the European Parliament elections can be attributed to the recent electoral victories of Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and Dutch politician Geert Wilders, as well as the strong showing of Marine Le Pen in the 2022 French presidential election.

Although the European Parliament is likely to have a right-leaning majority, its limited powers may prevent immediate changes, but it will serve as a warning to traditional political parties to shift their policies towards those of populists.

The next European Commission president will have to address the populist block's concerns on migration, as the Parliament will be crucial in electing him, according to Mendoza. However, he emphasized that significant policy changes may not occur immediately within the Parliament or beyond it.

European Parliament
European flags fly outside the European Parliament on Feb. 7, 2024 in Strasbourg, France. Some 400 million EU citizens go to the polls this weekend to elect the members of the European Parliament in one of the biggest global democratic events. (AP Photo/Jean-Francois Badias, File)

He warned that if the mainstream political parts of Europe fail to provide answers and continue with their unsuccessful policies, they will face harsher consequences in the upcoming election.

"If the agenda is seconded, we can expect a significant shift in Europe's policies to occur rapidly, as the mainstream has acknowledged and addressed people's concerns, resulting in a change in approach."

The conclusion of Mowers is that the upcoming European elections may inspire the conservative movement in the US as we approach our own elections in November.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

by Lukas Mikelionis

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