The Mexican president may be shifting his stance on the US following Trump's election, which has sent a warning to the ruling socialists.
The Mexican government will seek to engage in dialogue with the incoming Republican administration.
President Claudia Sheinbaum's administration is considering modifying specific policies in anticipation of the challenges that may arise from President-elect Trump's re-election, with the aim of protecting Mexico's economic interests and managing immigration effectively.
Claudia Sheinbaum and other officials have pledged to maintain a positive bilateral relationship with the United States while emphasizing Mexico's sovereignty. At a recent press conference, she assured Mexicans that there is "no reason for concern" regarding the election outcome, indicating confidence in the stability of bilateral relations. "We will work with dialogue and respect for our sovereignties," she said.
Rodrigo Montes de Oca, a scholar at the Baker Institute Center for the U.S. and Mexico, stated to Planet Chronicle Digital that the bilateral relationship will be viewed in a broader context rather than being limited to a single issue. He explained that former President López Obrador, commonly known as AMLO, was adept at focusing the entire bilateral relationship on the issue of immigration.
The Biden administration turned a blind eye to important issues such as security and fentanyl trafficking when AMLO cooperated on immigration. With the incoming Trump administration, the focus will shift to trade and security, making the relationship more complex. Trump even threatened to release U.S. government intelligence on Mexican politicians linked to drug cartels if they did not cooperate. However, it seems that the Mexican government is not preparing for this more comprehensive approach.
Mexico is anticipated to fortify its immigration policies in response to Trump's plans for mass deportations and stricter immigration controls. This may entail intensified surveillance at its southern border and heightened collaboration with U.S. officials to manage migration flows efficiently. These actions aim to alleviate U.S. worries while maintaining Mexico's sovereignty and compassionate pledges.
President Claudia Sheinbaum has maintained Mexico's existing strategies to manage and discourage migrant caravans traveling towards the United States. These measures include deploying the National Guard and other security forces to intercept and disperse migrant groups at the southern border. The aim is to prevent large caravans from forming and advancing northward.
The Mexican government is organizing flights to send migrants back to their home countries in an effort to decrease the number of people trying to cross Mexico to reach the U.S. Mexico is collaborating with U.S. authorities to manage migration flows, including accepting some deported migrants and implementing policies to control the influx of individuals seeking entry into the United States.
If President-elect Trump imposes tariffs on Mexican exports, particularly in the automotive sector, Mexico may respond with reciprocal measures, which could have economic consequences for both countries, according to Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard.
To avoid economic consequences that could impact the renegotiation of the USMCA trade deal in 2026, Mexico must develop a comprehensive plan to address the current violence in the country.
Gerardo Fernández Noroña, the President of the Mexican Senate, stated that "Donald Trump is a challenging individual, but he does not breathe fire, he understands the significance of our country's relationship, he comprehends the importance of the Mexican community in the United States, and he received substantial support from Mexicans during the election." Additionally, he noted that "Claudia Sheinbaum possesses the necessary qualities, such as firmness, character, preparation, and popular support, to interact with him appropriately."
The administration of Claudia Sheinbaum must reinforce the security strategy on the southern border by deploying the National Guard and strengthening the presence of the National Migration Institute. Additionally, she must change the narrative and adopt a new approach to negotiating with the U.S. during the upcoming negotiation of the USMCA trade deal. She must prioritize an economic agenda to empower Mexicans in the United States, whose influence is growing daily as they open businesses, create jobs, and voted for Donald Trump.
It is uncertain whether Sheinbaum's government will modify its policies to improve relations with the United States, particularly in the area of security, as her predecessor prioritized protecting criminal groups over fighting them. Despite promising continuity in all areas, security policy may be the source of tension with the incoming Trump administration.
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