Since the Hamas attack on Israel in October 2023, the number of Iran-linked attacks against US skyrocketed by 600%, according to a report.

The escalation of the conflict between Israel and Iran is predicted to lead to an increase in attacks from and against Iran-backed groups in Iraq and Syria.

Since the Hamas attack on Israel in October 2023, the number of Iran-linked attacks against US skyrocketed by 600%, according to a report.
Since the Hamas attack on Israel in October 2023, the number of Iran-linked attacks against US skyrocketed by 600%, according to a report.

Since the Hamas terror attack in southern Israel on Oct. 7, 2023, attacks against the U.S. by Iran-linked actors have increased by 630%, according to a report by the Jewish Institute for National Security of America (JINSA) obtained exclusively by Planet Chronicle Digital.

The number of attacks against the U.S. has been on the rise since the U.S. withdrew from the Iran nuclear deal in 2018 under the first Trump administration, and continued to increase throughout President Biden's term.

Since the Oct. 7, 2023, attack on Israel and the subsequent wars against Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon, Iran-backed groups have intensified their attacks on Washington's top ally in the Middle East, its troops in Iraq and Syria, and U.S. naval vessels targeted by Houthi terrorists in Yemen.

U.S. troops are shown at a Memorial Day ceremony at Union III in Baghdad on May 27, 2024.
U.S. troops are shown at a Memorial Day ceremony at Union III in Baghdad on May 27, 2024. (U.S. Army)

Since October 17, 2023, at least 204 attacks targeting U.S. personnel have been carried out by Iran-backed groups in Iraq and Syria, using over 330 rockets, missiles, and drones, according to a report released by Ari Cicurel, JINSA assistant director of foreign policy.

In response to Israel's escalation of its offensive against Hezbollah in Lebanon and its plans for a retaliatory attack against Tehran in October, Iran-backed groups intensified their attacks against U.S. troops in neighboring countries.

Cicurel stated to Planet Chronicle Digital that Iran could potentially intensify its proxies' assaults against U.S. troops in Iraq and Syria in an attempt to persuade Washington to apply pressure on Israel to cease targeting these terrorist groups.

In 15 separate incidents, militia groups in Syria more than doubled the number of attacks on U.S. personnel compared to the seven attacks carried out by Iran-backed groups in September. However, this is still half the number of attacks that occurred in January when U.S. personnel were targeted in 34 incidents in Syria and 19 in Iraq.

Cicurel explained to Planet Chronicle Digital that these strikes are carried out by groups such as the Islamic Resistance in Iraq, which is an "umbrella organization for Iran's proxies" and includes terrorist groups such as Kataib Hezbollah, Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada, Asaib Ahl al-Haq, Ansar Allah al-Awfiya, and Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba, to claim attacks against Israel and U.S. forces.

JINSA's latest report does not cover attacks on the U.S. in Iraq and Syria from ISIS, or the most recent attacks against the U.S. this week.

JINSA graph
This image shows Iran-linked malign activity against the United States during the Obama, Trump and Biden administrations.

On Monday, three U.S. destroyers were attacked by Iran-backed Houthi's in the Bab al-Mandab strait, and two other attacks were carried out in northeast Syria by Iran-proxy groups on Sunday.

No damage was sustained by the ships or the base, and no U.S. servicemembers were injured during the attacks.

The Pentagon press secretary confirmed that the U.S. continues to target weapons storage facilities and Iran-backed militant locations.

Ryder confirmed that the strikes will weaken the Iranian-backed groups' capacity to plan and execute attacks on U.S. and coalition forces in the region, who are engaged in the defeat of ISIS operation.

A defense official stated that due to operational security concerns, they do not disclose the number of threats and/or strikes posed by Iran-backed groups in the Middle East in response to Planet Chronicle Digital's inquiries.

According to the JINSA report, prior to the October 2023 attacks by Hamas, Iran-sanctioned militant groups targeted U.S. troops over Israeli positions because they believed that the U.S. responses would be less forceful than Israel's.

The strategy halted after the Hamas attack on Israel, and in October this year alone Iran-backed groups launched over 110 unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV), missiles, and rockets at Israel from Iraq.

Cicurel stated that Iran likely used its Iraqi proxies to attack Israel as a way to intensify its assault on the Jewish state without provoking a retaliation on Iranian soil, which its direct attacks have resulted in.

Tehran is attempting to prevent normalized strikes on its homeland, which may result in increased fighting in Iraq and Syria between Israel and Iran-backed militias, according to security experts who spoke to Planet Chronicle Digital.

Iran-backed militia Iraq
Iran-backed Shi'ite group fighters are shown in Basra, Iraq, on Oct. 1, 2024. (REUTERS/Essam Al-sudani)

Cicuerl stated that since Israel has dismantled Hamas and weakened Hezbollah's capabilities, Iran is likely to intensify its attacks on Israel through its proxies in Iraq and Syria, who are armed with Iranian-made rockets, missiles, and drones.

Since last year, Israel has experienced an increase in attacks backed by Iran.

Since October 2023, Hezbollah, Iran's top proxy fighting force, has fired a reported 16,170 projectiles at Israel, nearly 40% of which were fired last month when 6,340 rockets, missiles and UAVs targeted the Levant nation.

In September, Israel experienced 44 attacks from Iraq-backed groups, but in October, it faced 111 attacks, which is more than 2.5 times the number of attacks from Iraq. This increase in attacks likely motivated Israel's retaliatory strike against Tehran in Iraq and Syria.

by Caitlin McFall

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